Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1144.369246 1296.538041 1464.770411 1665.134702 1898.012176 2161.027619 2481.810569
2025-10-05 935.908888 1144.635640 1396.914503 1726.850919 2150.721904 2682.049452 3406.498955
2025-10-12 808.867444 1040.737884 1338.253072 1753.132421 2324.904305 3097.333986 4240.807450
2025-10-19 716.057701 958.823758 1285.437703 1765.061707 2465.212428 3472.027849 5070.700031
2025-10-26 644.954044 893.082850 1240.579986 1774.019534 2592.714471 3836.795328 5940.868840
2025-11-02 599.613830 855.930526 1228.267854 1823.715326 2781.334468 4314.619873 7070.364249
2025-11-09 557.853758 818.029560 1208.472946 1856.281280 2943.390729 4769.922844 8245.068911
2025-11-16 520.075341 781.319225 1185.075318 1877.869215 3087.035205 5212.176737 9479.839738
2025-11-23 487.409308 748.727384 1163.729101 1898.479708 3229.165327 5670.276637 10834.992908
2025-11-30 461.715609 724.405729 1152.541876 1933.726445 3400.187564 6205.907453 12458.383739
2025-12-07 423.294029 675.497172 1095.226603 1880.051183 3397.307924 6403.023481 13399.222927
2025-12-14 389.026014 630.556211 1040.333200 1824.120911 3381.519641 6569.495822 14303.957712
2025-12-21 355.805348 585.356828 982.061430 1757.621772 3340.283424 6685.581946 15141.774605
2025-12-28 345.232757 578.813744 992.097189 1823.094677 3578.417304 7447.583900 17774.307337
2026-01-04 330.332600 563.164330 983.807672 1851.090449 3740.860664 8068.357916 20212.229817
2026-01-11 314.792656 544.993510 968.980455 1863.797039 3871.174742 8636.975173 22669.548336
2026-01-18 300.231105 527.418324 953.595515 1873.339196 3995.355554 9213.336748 25322.431075
2026-01-25 291.763962 520.601038 958.401456 1926.285557 4228.606667 10112.531463 29260.874687
2026-02-01 281.879032 510.237071 955.131720 1960.989661 4423.047664 10948.869394 33287.107573
2026-02-08 271.502878 498.091618 947.120263 1983.998424 4591.832585 11749.786840 37484.151228
2026-02-15 261.753340 486.443854 939.088500 2005.967953 4761.401837 12589.525884 42147.154083
2026-02-22 254.050800 478.337359 937.768282 2043.544509 4978.384615 13619.399391 47971.161211
2026-03-01 238.748701 453.613897 898.876444 1986.324152 4928.320529 13812.174174 50456.480241